“一带一路”视域下西北内陆地区农业基础设施发展态势及影响要素研究——基于西北五省面板数据的实证分析

Studies on the Development Situation and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Infrastructure in the Inland Region of Northwest China under the Belt and Road Background, based on Empirical Analysis on Data of Five Provinces in Northwest China

摘要:

本文在农业经济影响因素分析和研究基础上,选取有效灌溉面积、农村公路里程、农用机械总动力、农村用电量构建西北内陆地区农业基础设施发展水平评价体系,通过C-D模型面板数据回归客观确定该评价体系各项指标的权重,开展了西北内陆地区农业基础设施单向及综合指标评价。研究结果表明:(1)西北内陆地区五省(区)的农业基础设施综合水平由高到低依次为:新疆、陕西、宁夏、青海、甘肃;(2)西北内陆地区农业基础设施建设整体滞后且呈现不均衡发展态势;(3)西北地区面临的重点问题仍是解决生活条件基本需求、谋求农业经济稳步增长与农业基础设施低质建设之间的矛盾。在农业基础设施建设中需借助“一带一路”的溢出效应和西部开发战略加强农业基础设施投入,补足短板强化优势,提升自我造血能力。同时针对各省(区)存在的问题,制定精准政策,推动西北内陆地区农业经济健康稳定发展。

Abstract:

Based on the research of influencing factors on agricultural economy, an evaluation system of agricultural infrastructure in northwest inland was built with effective irrigation area, rural highway mileage, total power of agricultural machinery and rural electricity consumption as four important indicators. Then the indicator weight in this evaluation system was calculated by C-D model and panel data, and finally, the development of overall agricultural infrastructure was discussed. The results showed that in northwest inland, Xinjiang led the integrated development level of agricultural infrastructure, followed by Shanxi, Ningxia, Qinghai, Gansu. The development of agricultural infrastructure in the northwest inland was backward and unbalanced. The key issues facing the northwest region were still the solution to the basic needs of living conditions, the gradual growth of the agricultural economy and the low quality construction of agricultural infrastructure. Therefore, in the construction of agricultural infrastructure in the northwest region, it is necessary to use the spillover effect of the Belt and Road and the development strategy of the western region to strengthen the investment in agricultural infrastructure, supplement the advantages of short-board strengthening and enhance self-creation. At the same time, it is necessary to formulate precise policies for the problems existed in the provinces, so as to promote the healthy and stable development of the agricultural economy in the inland areas of the northwest.